The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hamilton Academical 30.5%
Draw 30.5%
Dunfermline Athletic 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
27.3%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
26%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamilton Academical's form might have worsened.
Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunfermline Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
36.4%
36.4%
Hamilton Academical - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dunfermline: 8% – 64.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Lyness D. (G) 22. Tumilty R. 14. Maguire B. (C) 5. McGinty S. 30. Gallacher T. 16. MacDonald K. 10. Barjonas J. 11. Bradley S. 17. Robinson S. 24. McKinstry S. 19. Shaw O.
21. Oluwayemi T. (G) 5. Hamilton C. 48. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 4. Benedictus K. (C) 3. Ngwenya K. 35. Oakley-Boothe T. 6. Otoo E. 14. Stevens A. 19. Wotherspoon D. 11. McCann L. 34. Yeboah E.
Substitutes
1. Albinson C. (G) 7. Henderson E. 33. Hendrie S. 3. Longridge J. 6. McGowan D. 9. O'Hara K. 13. Smith C. 25. Telfer Ch. 18. Todorov N.
26. Andy T. 8. Chalmers J. 22. Clay C. 16. Fogarty T. 41. Hogarth J. (G) 45. Taylor-Clarke O. 17. Young C.
Coaches
Rankin J.
Tidser M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barjonas J. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
56', Wotherspoon D. ↓, Young C. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, McKinstry S. ⚽, Shaw O. (A),
70', Bradley S. 🟨,
75', Bradley S. ↓, O'Hara K. ↑,
80', McKinstry S. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
81', Oakley-Boothe T. ↓, Taylor-Clarke O. ↑,
84', Smith C. 🟨,
84', McCann L. 🟨,
85', Robinson S. ↓, Telfer Ch. ↑,
85', Gallacher T. ↓, Hendrie S. ↑,
90+4', Shaw O. 🟨,
90+4', Chilokoa-Mullen J. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 2.
Hamilton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Dunfermline is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hamilton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Hamilton have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:16 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).