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Current Win Probability
Hamilton Academical 14.2%
Draw 20.9%
Hibernian 64.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.1%
22.7%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
13.1%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hibernian's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-30.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hibernian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.7%
5.4%
64.9%
Hamilton Academical - Hibernian Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). Hibernian will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hibernian: 49.5% – 80.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Premiership (Championship Group)).
Hamilton has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hibernian has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Now both teams are in good shape.
Hamilton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Hibernian have a series of home games.
In this match Hibernian is certain favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.