Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 5

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Hamilton Academical		Kilmarnock 2

	1	X	2
	1.07	11.00	21.00
	1.08	10.00	17.00
	1.12	8.00	11.00
	1.05	9.30	15.50
	1.16	7.6	13	Watch
	1.07	8.85	19.00
	1.06	10.90	21.00
	1.06	8.20	18.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.16)	9.23 ↑ (7.23)	16.94 ↑ (9.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
84.6%

Draw
9.9%

Kilmarnock 2
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

12.5%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamilton Academical's performance.

Kilmarnock 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Hamilton Academical - Kilmarnock 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, MacDonald K. ⚽, Thomas D. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Thomas D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 3 - 0, Bradley S. ⚽, McKinstry S. (A),

Preview

Hamilton has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Kilmarnock 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Hamilton as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Hamilton	5	3	0	2	9:4	5	9
30	Kilmarnock B	5	1	1	3	8:13	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Challenge Cup
23.09.26	Hamilton Academical - Cowdenbeath	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	4:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Spartans - Hamilton Academical	0:4 ✺
Scottish League One
05.09.26	East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Kilmarnock 2
Scottish Challenge Cup
22.09.26	Dumbarton - Kilmarnock 2	3:2 ✺
08.09.26	Cowdenbeath - Kilmarnock 2	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Cumbernauld Colts - Kilmarnock 2	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	East Kilbride - Kilmarnock 2	5:3 ✺
11.11.25	Annan Athletic - Kilmarnock 2	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL

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