The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montrose 46.9%
Draw 25.6%
Peterhead 27.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.1%
26.6%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
25.6%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Montrose - Peterhead Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gill C. (G) 2. Williamson R. 4. Quinn A. (C) 5. McGinty S. 3. Duffy F. 8. Barjonas J. 6. Byrne S. 12. Freeman K. 19. Oliver G. 11. Lyons B. 16. Sutherland J.
31. Hepburn C. (G) 2. Strachan D. 46. Kerr J. 4. Graham A. 5. Brown J. (C) 34. Tekle R. 6. Yule B. 21. Forrest D. 8. McCarthy A. 17. Smith C. 9. Megginson M.
Substitutes
20. Bertie K. 21. Campbell M. (G) 22. Craig H. 14. Dillon S. 10. Glass D. 9. Loudon E. 7. Webster G.
3. Davies-Browne T. 7. Keir L. 29. Luyeye B. 10. Mcluckie B. 1. Newman J. (G) 22. Ross S. 24. Searle J. 15. Stokes J. 18. To Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Sutherland J. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Graham A. (Own goal),
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oliver G. ↓, Craig H. ↑,
50', Freeman K. 🟨,
58', Tekle R. ↓, Searle J. ↑,
58', Forrest D. ↓, Ross S. ↑,
70', Barjonas J. 🟨,
70', Kerr J. ↓, Keir L. ↑,
70', Smith C. ↓, To Z. ↑,
72', Sutherland J. ↓, Loudon E. ↑,
77', Strachan D. ↓, Mcluckie B. ↑,
78', Barjonas J. ↓, Webster G. ↑,
82', Ross S. 🟨,
84', Brown J. 🟨,
85', 3 - 0, Lyons B. ⚽, Webster G. (A),
86', Freeman K. ↓, Glass D. ↑,
86', Lyons B. ↓, Bertie K. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 4th in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 2.
Montrose is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Peterhead have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Montrose could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Montrose has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Peterhead has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Montrose is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Montrose has recorded 12 wins, 7 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 34:17 (averaging 1.7:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montrose against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 22:12 goals (averaging 2.2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Montrose
12
6
1
5
17:20
-3
19
8
Peterhead
12
3
1
8
9:20
-11
10
Outrights of Scottish League One for now
Montrose: 0.86% Peterhead: 0.24%
Last Results with these Odds
Peterhead - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.29%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
United Kingdom
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Gill C. (G) 
McGinty S. 
Tekle R. 
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