Match Info

League One - Round 22

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Links Park (Montrose)


	Montrose		Peterhead

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.8
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.18	3.5	2.88
	2.15	3.55	3.08
	2.13	3.74	3.01	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.13	3.36	3.01	Watch
	2.1	3.33	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.23)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	2.97 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montrose
43%

Draw
26.3%

Peterhead
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Montrose - Peterhead Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Montrose will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Peterhead will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montrose: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Montrose (votes: 2 - 50%). Peterhead (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Montrose (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Montrose (votes: 3 - 60%). Peterhead (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sharp H. (G) 12. Freeman K. 14. Dillon S. 18. Glasgow E. 3. Steeves A. 17. Towler E. 15. Stevenson G. 8. Sandilands C. 11. Lyons B. 7. Webster G. 10. Sutherland T.	1. Newman J. (G) 3. Duffy F. 5. Brown J. 46. Kerr J. 2. Strachan D. 7. McGuffie C. 21. Forrest D. 17. Smith C. 8. McCarthy A. 77. Barry M. 10. Shanks K.
Substitutes
20. Bertie K. 22. Brown C. 21. Campbell M. (G) 24. Clark R. 9. Loudon E. 6. Masson T. 16. North T. 2. Williamson R.	18. Brown J. 24. Lister H. 20. McGinn N. 13. Oluyemi B. (G) 16. Ross M. 22. Ross S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Smith C. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Sutherland T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Shanks K. ⚽,
60', Kerr J. ↓, Ross S. ↑,
68', Webster G. ↓, Loudon E. ↑,
68', Stevenson G. ↓, North T. ↑,
68', Freeman K. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
71', Sandilands C. 🟨,
77', Smith C. ↓, McGinn N. ↑,
80', Glasgow E. ↓, Williamson R. ↑,
86', McGinn N. 🟨,
86', McGuffie C. ↓, Ross M. ↑,
87', Towler E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Peterhead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Montrose will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Montrose won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 2.4:1.7).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Montrose: 1.29% Peterhead: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montrose	9	5	0	4	13:14	-1	15
8	Peterhead	9	2	1	6	7:16	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Peterhead - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 30.71%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
31.01.26	East Fife - Montrose	2:3 ✺
20.01.26	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	4:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Partick Thistle - Montrose	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
06.01.26	Airdrieonians - Montrose	3:1 ✺
Scottish League One
27.12.25	Montrose - Inverness	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLLLW
- Peterhead
Scottish League One
31.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Peterhead - Hamilton Academical	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Peterhead - Cove Rangers	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	East Fife - Peterhead	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Peterhead - Kelty Hearts	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
15.11.25	Peterhead - Montrose	1:1
30.08.25	Montrose - Peterhead	2:1
Scottish Cup
30.11.24	Peterhead - Montrose	2:3
Scottish League One
15.04.23	Montrose - Peterhead	2:1
02.01.23	Peterhead - Montrose	0:0
05.11.22	Montrose - Peterhead	3:0
03.09.22	Peterhead - Montrose	0:2

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