The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hamilton Academical 43.3%
Draw 26.7%
East Fife 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
26.1%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
25.4%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamilton Academical's form might have worsened.
East Fife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting East Fife's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for East Fife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Hamilton Academical - East Fife Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamilton (votes: 2 - 40%). East Fife (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Users Predictions:
Hamilton Academical will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamilton (votes: 4 - 30.8%). East Fife (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Lane J. (G) 21. Crookston G. 20. Forrest C. 33. Hendrie S. (C) 4. Kilday L. 16. MacDonald K. 27. McKinstry S. 15. Newbury C. 7. O'Hara K. 9. Shaw O. 5. Smutek K.
21. Adams R. (G) 20. Bah M. 23. Culbert S. 22. McKenna M. 6. McManus C. 4. Millar K. 19. Munro A. 7. Norey J. 25. Oladipo D. 11. Peggie R. 8. Slattery P.
Substitutes
12. Black K. 32. Eadie A. 2. Hutton Z. 42. Lyons L. 18. Morgan L. 49. Shiels D. 19. Simpson E. 51. Stafford N. (G)
14. El-Harek O. 9. Fairley J. 16. Halliday D. 2. Halsey J. 18. Healy J. 1. Hemfrey R. (G) 17. Latona L. 15. Rowe F. 10. Trouten A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Shaw O. ⚽, Forrest C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Crookston G. 🟨,
62', Newbury C. ↓, Hutton Z. ↑,
65', McKenna M. 🟨,
66', Slattery P. ↓, Latona L. ↑,
66', Norey J. ↓, Rowe F. ↑,
72', Crookston G. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
72', Forrest C. ↓, Simpson E. ↑,
73', Culbert S. ↓, Trouten A. ↑,
79', Morgan L. 🟨,
80', Millar K. ↓, Healy J. ↑,
90+3', Peggie R. 🟨,
90+5', Shaw O. ↓, Black K. ↑,
90+5', McKinstry S. ↓, Eadie A. ↑,
Preview
Hamilton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, East Fife has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Hamilton has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Hamilton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Watch
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Lane J. (G) 
Smutek K. 
Bah M. 
Norey J. 
El-Harek O. 
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