Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Albert Bartlett Stadium (Airdrie)


	Airdrieonians		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3
	2.05	3.65	3.1
	2.15	3.45	3.31
	2.11	3.52	3.17
	2	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.43)	3.54 ↓ (3.65)	3.14 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
44.7%

Draw
26%

Hamilton Academical
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

24.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Airdrieonians's performance.

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamilton Academical might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Airdrieonians that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamilton Academical could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Airdrieonians - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Airdrieonians (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Airdrieonians (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Melrose C. (G) 24. McKinnon C. 5. Wilson A. 4. McGinty S. 3. Strapp L. 17. McGrattan L. 8. Gallagher G. 6. McMaster D. 18. Barjonas J. 11. Henderson E. 7. Mochrie C. R.	31. Smith J. (G) 2. Hutton Z. 4. Kilday L. 22. Loughrey C. 33. Hendrie S. 7. O'Hara K. 16. MacDonald K. 17. Robinson S. 8. Smith C. 10. Bradley S. 9. Shaw O.
Substitutes
21. Cooper C. 33. Hastie J. 2. MacDonald D. 40. McNeil A. (G) 10. McStravick L. 9. Reid A. 16. Ross C. 23. Telfer Ch. 12. Xavier-Jones T.	32. Eadie A. 40. Mackinnon D. 52. Marks M. (G) 27. McKinstry S. 11. Mcluckie B. 18. Morgan L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Hutton Z. 🟨,
29', Strapp L. ↓, MacDonald D. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, McGrattan L. ⚽,
55', 2 - 0, Mochrie C. R. ⚽, McKinnon C. (A),
58', 3 - 0, Henderson E. (Pen),
59', Gallagher G. ↓, Telfer Ch. ↑,
59', Wilson A. ↓, Ross C. ↑,
64', Hendrie S. 🟨,
66', Bradley S. ↓, Mcluckie B. ↑,
66', Hutton Z. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
66', Robinson S. ↓, McKinstry S. ↑,
71', Henderson E. ↓, McStravick L. ↑,
71', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, McGrattan L. ⚽,
78', Kilday L. ↓, Eadie A. ↑,
82', McGinty S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 1.

Recent performances by Airdrieonians have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hamilton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 1.1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.2:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Airdrieonians - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Football Championship
22.11.25	Airdrieonians - Ayr United	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians	0:3 ✺
07.11.25	Airdrieonians - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	St. Johnstone - Airdrieonians	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWTLW
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
22.11.25	Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.11.25	Hamilton Academical - Glasgow Rangers B	3:0 ✺
Scottish League One
08.11.25	Hamilton Academical - Peterhead	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	East Fife - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
08.03.25	Airdrieonians - Hamilton Academical	2:1
28.12.24	Hamilton Academical - Airdrieonians	3:2
02.11.24	Airdrieonians - Hamilton Academical	0:4
31.08.24	Hamilton Academical - Airdrieonians	2:2
20.05.23	Hamilton Academical - Airdrieonians	2:1
17.05.23	Airdrieonians - Hamilton Academical	1:0
Scottish League Cup
27.07.19	Airdrieonians - Hamilton Academical	2:3

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