The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hannover 27.5%
Draw 27.5%
Heidenheim 44.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
27.9%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
27.9%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hannover's form might have worsened.
Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidenheim's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hannover, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12%
20%
68%
Hannover - Heidenheim Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 17 - 68%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 49.7% – 86.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation: )).
Hannover has the most likely position - 12 (18.1%), project points - 41, currently - 34, a very small chance of relegated (2%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
Heidenheim has the most likely position - 3 (43.79%), project points - 62, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a chance of promoted (40%), a small chance of win league (8%).
This event has small quality30, importance46, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hannover won 1.
Hannover is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Heidenheim is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Heidenheim will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Hannover won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Hannover won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.
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