Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Heidenheim		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.85
	2.32	3.45	3.05
	2.4	3.52	3.1
	2.3	3.49	3.07	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.9
	2.35	3.58	3.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.52)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	2.98 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
40.5%

Draw
27.7%

St. Pauli
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.4%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.5%	17.4%	39.1%

Heidenheim - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Heidenheim (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 19. Fohrenbach J. 26. Behrens H. 3. Schoppner J. 30. Dorsch N. 21. Beck A. 8. Dinkci E. 18. Pieringer M. 11. Zivzivadze B.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 15. Ando T. 5. Wahl H. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 20. Rasmussen M. 7. Irvine J. (C) 11. Pyrka A. 10. Sinani D. 16. Fujita J. 27. Hountondji A.
Substitutes
10. Conteh C. 40. Feller F. (G) 22. Ibrahimovic A. 20. Kerber L. 16. Niehues J. 9. Schimmer S. 4. Siersleben T. 25. Stergiou L. 23. Traore O. H.	9. Ceesay A. 25. Dzwigala A. 18. Hara T. 19. Kaars M. 24. Metcalfe C. 23. Oppie L. 21. Ritzka L. 8. Smith E. 1. Voll B. A. (G)
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Schoppner J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fujita J. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
46', Rasmussen M. ↓, Smith E. ↑,
56', Beck A. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
63', Saliakas M. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
64', Hountondji A. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
76', Kaars M. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Dinkci E. ⚽, Ramaj D. (A),
85', Dorsch N. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
88', Sinani D. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
90+1', Dinkci E. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
90+1', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
90+1', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1.

Recent performances by Heidenheim have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Pauli is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Heidenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Kaufmann M. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Rothweiler N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Jones R.J. (Ankle Injury) Pereira Lage M. (Knee Injury) Sands J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Dinkci E. (Injury) Honsak M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Freiburg - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Heidenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
14.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWTTL
- FC St. Pauli
German Bundesliga
17.04.26	St. Pauli - Köln	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	St. Pauli - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
05.04.26	Union Berlin - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	St. Pauli - Freiburg	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
13.12.25	St. Pauli - Heidenheim	2:1
18.01.25	Heidenheim - St. Pauli	0:2
25.08.24	St. Pauli - Heidenheim	0:2
German 2 Bundesliga
08.04.23	Heidenheim - St. Pauli	0:1
01.10.22	St. Pauli - Heidenheim	0:0
18.03.22	St. Pauli - Heidenheim	1:0
16.10.21	Heidenheim - St. Pauli	2:4

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