Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: LEAG Energie Stadion (Cottbus)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
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Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
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Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
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Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
International	OneFootball TV


	Energie Cottbus		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.75	2.10	Watch
	3.10	3.80	2.15
	3.30	3.80	2.00	Watch
	3.20	4.10	2.16
	3.06	3.89	2.13	Watch
	3.15	3.95	2.13
	3.07	3.80	2.08	Watch
	3.00	3.80	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.38)	3.86 ↑ (3.75)	2.11 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Energie Cottbus
30.5%

Draw
24.6%

St. Pauli
45%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

24.8%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

24%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Energie Cottbus - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cottbus will win (votes: 1 - 20%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lotka M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 2. Manu K. 21. Erlein L. 20. Borgmann A. (C) 8. Michelbrink L. 32. Bittencourt L. 10. Cigerci T. 11. Hannemann M. 31. Butler J. 9. Copado L.	1. Voll B. (G) 4. Nemeth D. (C) 8. Smith E. 15. Ando T. 11. Pyrka A. 20. Rasmussen M. 16. Fujita J. 23. Oppie L. 7. Niang Y. 24. Metcalfe C. 9. Ceesay A.
Substitutes
13. Bogdanov D. 19. Boziaris J. 4. Campulka T. 23. Doumbia F. 6. Hofmann J. 7. Kinsombi C. 29. Kratzsch K. (G) 16. Malone R. 5. Pelivan D.	14. Ahlstrand E. 25. Dzwigala A. 18. Hara T. 26. Jones R.J. 19. Kaars M. 22. Klein S. 6. Mathisen M. 33. Mitov D. (G) 21. Ritzka L.
Coaches
Wollitz C.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Ando T. 🟨,
21', Ando T. 🟨,
29', Niang Y. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Butler J. ⚽, Hannemann M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Borgmann A. 🟨,
57', Ceesay A. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
60', Pyrka A. 🟨,
62', Bittencourt L. ↓, Pelivan D. ↑,
62', Copado L. ↓, Kinsombi C. ↑,
74', Fujita J. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
75', Rasmussen M. ↓, Jones R.J. ↑,
77', Lotka M. 🟨,
78', Nemeth D. 🟨,
79', Cigerci T. ↓, Bogdanov D. ↑,
79', Michelbrink L. ↓, Doumbia F. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Kaars M. ⚽, Jones R.J. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th and 10th).

Recent results have been tough for Cottbus (last 5 matches: 1 win).

St. Pauli has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

St. Pauli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

St. Pauli is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Cottbus has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 0.6:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cottbus against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	St. Pauli	8	2	5	1	11:9	2	11
9	Cottbus	8	2	3	3	16:17	-1	9

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

St. Pauli: 3.97%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Energie Cottbus
German 2 Bundesliga
13.09.26	Karlsruher - Energie Cottbus	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Wolfsburg - Energie Cottbus	4:4 ✺
29.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Greuther Fürth	3:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Augsburg	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.08.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTLLL
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
12.09.26	St. Pauli - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	St. Pauli - Kaiserslautern	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.08.26	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
17.04.14	Energie Cottbus - St. Pauli	1:1
11.11.13	St. Pauli - Energie Cottbus	3:0
03.02.13	St. Pauli - Energie Cottbus	0:0
25.08.12	Energie Cottbus - St. Pauli	2:0
25.03.12	St. Pauli - Energie Cottbus	0:0

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