Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Ultra
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top Event, Sport 1, WOW
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Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
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Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
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Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4, SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Schalke 04		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.7	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.75	2.05
	2.8	3.7	2.26	Watch
	2.97	3.87	2.31
	2.8	3.71	2.36	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	2.91	3.72	2.27	Watch
	2.92	3.75	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.14)	3.73 ↑ (3.72)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
32%

Draw
25.5%

Hamburger SV
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

25.3%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

25.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.1%	92.9%

Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Schalke (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamburger SV will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hamburg (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Heekeren J. (G) 31. Bulut T. 6. Schallenberg R. 35. Kaminski M. 5. Murkin D. J. 37. Gruger M. 7. Seguin P. 23. Aydin M. 19. Karaman K. 29. Mohr T. 9. Sylla M.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 8. Elfadli D. 30. Hefti S. 10. Pherai I. 23. Meffert J. 14. Reis L. 29. Sahiti E. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 7. Dompe J.
Substitutes
14. Bachmann J. 10. Ba P. M. 25. Barkok A. 30. Donkor A. 17. Gantenbein A. 15. Hojlund E. 26. Kalas T. 34. Langer M. (G) 8. Younes A.	45. Balde F. 9. Glatzel R. 17. Karabec A. 12. Mickel T. (G) 6. Poreba L. 20. Richter M. 4. Schonlau S. 27. Selke D. 49. Stange O.
Coaches
Van Wonderen K.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', Seguin P. 🟨,
3', Karaman K. 🟥,
13', Pherai I. 🟨,
14', Hefti S. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Schallenberg R. ⚽, Mohr T. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Sahiti E. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Sahiti E. ⚽, Konigsdorffer R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gruger M. ↓, Kalas T. ↑,
46', Hefti S. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
46', Pherai I. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
57', Hadzikadunic D. 🟨,
57', Sylla M. 🟨,
60', Aydin M. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
60', Seguin P. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Sylla M. ⚽,
82', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
83', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
83', Sylla M. ↓, Hojlund E. ↑,
84', Mohr T. ↓, Donkor A. ↑,
90+1', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
90+7', Heekeren J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 0.

Recent matches Schalke is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schalke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hamburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Drexler D. (Suspended) Hojlund E. (Hamstring Injury) Karius L. (Groin Injury) Podlech L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Muheim M. (Calf Injury) Oliveira N. (Muscle Injury) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Schalke: Antwi-Adjei C. (Muscle Injury) Bachmann J. (Calf Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Schalke won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 35:31 (average 1.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
13.04.25	Jahn Regensburg - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.25	Schalke 04 - Groningen	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.03.25	Schalke 04 - Hannover	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWL
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
11.04.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:4 ✺
05.04.25	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
28.03.25	Hamburger SV - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.24	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	2:2
20.01.24	Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV	0:2
28.07.23	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	5:3
18.12.21	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	1:1
23.07.21	Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV	1:3
Club Friendly
10.01.20	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	0:4
German Bundesliga
07.04.18	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	3:2

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