Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Hansa Rostock		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	5	3.8	1.68	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.7	Watch
	5.09	3.87	1.73
	5.1	3.87	1.74
	4.6	3.7	1.65	Watch
	4.85	3.78	1.69	Watch
	4.9	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.04)	3.78 ↑ (3.72)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock
19.3%

Draw
25%

St. Pauli
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

25.2%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

24.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10.5%	89.5%

Hansa Rostock - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: St. Pauli will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolke M. (C) 22. van der Werff J. 5. Husing O. 4. Rossbach D. 21. Rossipal A. 9. Proger K. 19. Vasiliadis S. 6. Dressel D. 27. Kinsombi C. 10. Froling N. 49. Junior Brumado	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 7. Irvine J. (C) 10. Hartel M. 23. Treu P. 17. Afolayan O. 11. Eggestein J. 26. Saad E.
Substitutes
26. Bachmann J. 11. Guler S. 16. Hinterseer L. 23. Korber N. (G) 34. Lang J. 18. Perea J. 8. Rhein S. 13. Schumacher K. 28. Singh S.	14. Amenyido E. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 9. Maurides 24. Metcalfe C. 4. Nemeth D. 21. Ritzka L. 6. Zoller S.
Coaches
Schwartz A.	Hurzeler F.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Hansa Rostock is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

St. Pauli is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St. Pauli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hansa Rostock won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hansa Rostock won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock
German 2 Bundesliga
12.11.23	Magdeburg - Hansa Rostock	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Hansa Rostock - Hertha Berlin	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Nürnberg - Hansa Rostock	3:2 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.10.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Hansa Rostock - Holstein Kiel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLLL
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
10.11.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	0:0 ✺
03.11.23	Elversberg - St. Pauli	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	St. Pauli - Schalke 04	2:1 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
28.10.23	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Paderborn - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
26.02.23	St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock	1:0
21.08.22	Hansa Rostock - St. Pauli	2:0
02.04.22	Hansa Rostock - St. Pauli	1:0
24.10.21	St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock	4:0
22.04.12	St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock	3:0

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