Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 10

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Paderborn		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.7	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.75	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.91	2.16
	3.25	3.91	2.15
	3	3.8	2.05	Watch
	3.18	3.78	2.07	Watch
	3.2	3.8	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.06)	3.81 ↑ (3.79)	2.1 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paderborn
29.9%

Draw
24.9%

St. Pauli
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

24.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

24.6%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Paderborn - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Huth J. (C) 6. Schuster M. 15. Muller T. 33. Hoffmeier M. 23. Obermair R. 22. Hansen M. 8. Kinsombi D. 30. Muslija F. 26. Klaas S. 7. Bilbija F. 39. Grimaldi A.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 25. Dzwigala A. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 7. Irvine J. (C) 10. Hartel M. 21. Ritzka L. 17. Afolayan O. 11. Eggestein J. 26. Saad E.
Substitutes
1. Boevink P. (G) 11. Conteh S. 17. Curda L. 28. Flotho M. 27. Klefisch K. 10. Kruse M. 13. Leipertz R. 16. Musliu V. 40. Nadj N.	19. Albers A. 14. Amenyido E. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 24. Metcalfe C. 4. Nemeth D. 15. Sinani D. 23. Treu P. 6. Zoller S.
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Hurzeler F.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2.

Paderborn is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St. Pauli is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

St. Pauli will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
08.10.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - Paderborn	1:3 ✺
29.09.23	Paderborn - Schalke 04	3:1 ✺
22.09.23	Magdeburg - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	Paderborn - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTWL
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
07.10.23	St. Pauli - Nürnberg	5:1 ✺
30.09.23	Hertha Berlin - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	St. Pauli - Schalke 04	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	St. Pauli - Holstein Kiel	5:1 ✺
01.09.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
03.03.23	Paderborn - St. Pauli	1:2
27.08.22	St. Pauli - Paderborn	2:2
05.02.22	St. Pauli - Paderborn	2:2
21.08.21	Paderborn - St. Pauli	3:1
15.03.21	St. Pauli - Paderborn	0:2
21.11.20	Paderborn - St. Pauli	2:0
02.03.19	Paderborn - St. Pauli	0:1

Upcoming Matches