Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 12

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Elversberg		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	2	Watch
	3.5	3.7	2	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2	Watch
	3.58	3.81	2.04
	3.58	3.81	2.05
	3.3	3.7	1.91	Watch
	3.48	3.74	1.97	Watch
	3.5	3.75	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.93)	3.74 ↓ (3.85)	2 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
27.3%

Draw
25.3%

St. Pauli
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

23.8%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pauli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	7.1%	71.4%

Elversberg - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 18. Vandermersch H. 23. Sickinger C. 5. Jakel F. 33. Neubauer M. 14. Fellhauer R. 8. Sahin S. 17. Wanner P. 21. Stock P. 10. Rochelt J. 24. Schnellbacher L. (C)	22. Vasilj N. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 5. Wahl H. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 7. Irvine J. (C) 10. Hartel M. 23. Treu P. 24. Metcalfe C. 11. Eggestein J. 17. Afolayan O.
Substitutes
28. Boss T. (G) 22. Boyamba J. 4. Conrad K. 11. Durholtz L. 7. Feil M. 30. Koffi 9. Martinovic D. 19. Pinckert L. 26. Sicker A.	19. Albers A. 14. Amenyido E. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 4. Nemeth D. 21. Ritzka L. 26. Saad E. 15. Sinani D. 6. Zoller S.
Coaches
Steffen H.	Hurzeler F.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Recent matches Elversberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Pauli is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Elversberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

St. Pauli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Elversberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
29.10.23	Magdeburg - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
20.10.23	Elversberg - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.23	Darmstadt - Elversberg	4:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.10.23	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Elversberg - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLTT
- FC St. Pauli
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	St. Pauli - Schalke 04	2:1 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
28.10.23	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Paderborn - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	St. Pauli - Nürnberg	5:1 ✺
30.09.23	Hertha Berlin - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
13.09.20	Elversberg - St. Pauli	4:2

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