Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Southern League Premier South 🌤️ ...


	Hanwell Town		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.40	2.20
	2.7	3.35	2.18
	2.84	3.7	2.24	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.13
	2.77	3.42	2.2
	2.7	3.45	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.84)	3.44 ↓ (3.7)	2.19 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanwell Town
33%

Draw
26.1%

Bath City
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.3%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

24.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanwell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Hanwell Town - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Boldewijn E. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Parsons H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 16th and 5th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Hanwell Town has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bath is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bath could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bath	13	8	2	3	19:10	9	26
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10:14	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Bath City - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.77%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
13.10.26	Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Taunton Town - Hanwell Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Hanwell Town - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Frome Town - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLTT
- Bath City
English Southern League South Division
13.10.26	Evesham United - Bath City	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Bath City - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Bath City - Malvern Town	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Taunton Town - Bath City	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Bath City - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW

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