Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Toto Turner Stadium (Be'er Sheva)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)


	Hapoel Beer Sheva		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	4	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.6	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.25
	1.76	3.8	4.2
	1.77	3.8	4.57
	1.72	3.66	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.95)	3.74 ↑ (3.2)	4.34 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
53.4%

Draw
25%

Lugano
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

28.3%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Beer Sheva's performance.

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Beer Sheva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	8.7%	13%

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (36 of 46 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.34% – 90.18%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Hapoel Beer Sheva is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lugano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Beer Sheva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hapoel Beer Sheva have a series of guest games.

Hapoel Beer Sheva will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Hapoel Beer Sheva to win the game is with odds 2.02.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hapoel Beer Sheva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Beer Sheva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Lugano - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
28.07.22	Dinamo Minsk - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1 ✺
21.07.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
Israeli Super Cup
16.07.22	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.22	Cracovia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWWL
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
07.08.22	Lugano - Luzern	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Lugano - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
31.07.22	Winterthur - Lugano	1:4 ✺
24.07.22	Grasshoppers - Lugano	2:1 ✺
17.07.22	Lugano - Sion	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Lugano - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2
UEFA Europa League
23.11.17	Lugano - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0
14.09.17	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Lugano	2:1

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