Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 20

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Ironi Nesher		Hapoel Bnei Araba

	1	X	2
	2.28	3	2.92
	2.31	3.01	2.95
	2.42	3.16	2.75	Watch
	2.28	3.02	3.02
	2.3	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.26)	3.02 ↓ (3.43)	2.93 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Nesher
39.1%

Draw
30%

Hapoel Bnei Araba
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

25.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Nesher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Hapoel Bnei Araba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Araba than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Bnei Araba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Ali M. ⚽,
56', Rakowshik N. 🟥,
56', Khalaila A. 🟥,
57', 1 - 1, Razon S. ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ironi Nesher won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ironi Nesher	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10
17	Araba	5	0	1	4	2:14	-12	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Nesher
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.02.26	MS Tira - Ironi Nesher	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Ironi Nesher	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWLL
- Hapoel Bnei Araba
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.02.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:0 ✺
27.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	3:1 ✺
16.01.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Bnei Araba	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Bnei Araba	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
10.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Ironi Nesher	2:2

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