Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 14

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Hapoel Herzliya		Shimshon Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.1	2.32
	2.84	3.22	2.33	Watch
	2.65	3.22	2.36
	3.15	3.4	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.35)	3.24 ↓ (3.57)	2.29 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Herzliya
31.9%

Draw
28.2%

Shimshon Tel Aviv
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.6%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.5%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Herzliya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Herzliya's form might have worsened.

Shimshon Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Herzliya than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Herzliya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Tel Aviv Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Hershko A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Herzliya won 1.

Hapoel Herzliya has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Shimshon Tel Aviv is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Herzliya won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Herzliya won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hapoel Herzliya	5	3	2	0	6:2	4	11
6	Shimshon Tel Aviv	5	3	1	1	10:6	4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Shimshon Tel Aviv - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.45%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Herzliya
Israeli Liga Alef South
02.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Hapoel Herzliya	3:1 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Dimona	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:3 ✺
01.12.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Holon Yermiyahu	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.01.26	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Beitar Yavne - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	3:2 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
27.11.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Jerusalem FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
22.04.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:2
19.12.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Herzliya	0:2
19.04.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:2
01.02.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0
09.03.23	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1
04.11.22	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Tel Aviv	3:0

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