Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 20

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.55
	1.67	3.51	4.52
	1.67	3.64	4.57	Watch
	1.62	3.52	4.99
	1.68	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)	3.53 ↓ (3.77)	4.63 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
54.8%

Draw
25.6%

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Peretz O. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Abu Ras M. ⚽,
25', 2 - 1, Suleiman K. ⚽,
30', 3 - 1, Abu Ras M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 3 - 2, Algravli S. ⚽,
77', 4 - 2, Mowasi H. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 9).

Maccabi Nazareth is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Maccabi Nazareth is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Nazareth won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Maccabi Nazareth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	H. Migdal HaEmek	4	1	2	1	9:8	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.02.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - MS Tira	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWWW
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek FC
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.02.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	3:1 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
10.10.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:4
21.02.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:0
22.11.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	5:0
30.01.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1

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