Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF NORTH - ROUND 20

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday


	Hapoel Kaukab		Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.65	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.79	3.28	2.37
	2.79	3.28	2.17
	2.95	3.14	2.28
	2.65	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (4.96)	3.2 ↓ (3.9)	2.35 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kaukab
33%

Draw
28.3%

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

23.5%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kaukab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Kaukab's performance.

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kaukab than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Kaukab that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kaukab won 1.

Hapoel Kaukab is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hapoel Kaukab could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hapoel Kaukab have a series of guest games.

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kaukab won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Kaukab won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kaukab
Israeli Liga Alef North
05.03.24	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Kaukab	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kaukab	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Kaukab	1:1 ✺
23.02.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Ironi Nesher	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kaukab	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTTL
- Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
Israeli Liga Alef North
01.03.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Ironi Nesher	4:0 ✺
26.02.24	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:1 ✺
19.02.24	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Hapoel Bnei Zalafa - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
08.12.23	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Kaukab	2:0
07.04.23	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:6
23.12.22	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Kaukab	5:0
01.04.22	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Kaukab	3:1
17.12.21	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	3:1
09.04.21	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	3:1
20.02.21	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Kaukab	1:2

Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide