Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 21

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek		Ironi Nesher

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.35	3.6
	1.89	3.51	3.41
	1.89	3.62	3.48	Watch
	1.88	3.34	4
	1.83	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.9)	3.46 ↑ (3.17)	3.62 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
48.6%

Draw
26.2%

Ironi Nesher
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

30%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ironi Nesher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Ironi Nesher Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Bura N. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Dahan L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 3 - 0, Peretz O. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek won 3.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ironi Nesher is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ironi Nesher	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10
9	H. Migdal HaEmek	4	1	2	1	9:8	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek FC
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.02.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	4:2 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	3:1 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTWL
- Ironi Nesher
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.02.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	MS Tira - Ironi Nesher	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Ironi Nesher	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
17.10.25	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:0
03.12.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:3
17.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:1
08.09.23	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Ironi Nesher	1:0
24.02.23	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:1
21.10.22	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Ironi Nesher	4:2
01.04.22	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:1

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