Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 18

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Ironi Nesher		Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3
	2.1	3.34	3.03
	2.11	3.43	3.05
	2.13	3.28	3.06
	2.08	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.63)	3.31 ↓ (3.73)	3.05 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Nesher
43%

Draw
27.3%

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

21.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Nesher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ironi Nesher's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ironi Nesher, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ironi Nesher (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Ironi Nesher (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ironi Nesher (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Golan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Gadeban M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Ironi Nesher is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

H Tirat HaCarmel has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ironi Nesher is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ironi Nesher won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ironi Nesher	5	3	1	1	14:5	9	10
14	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	4	1	0	3	5:6	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Nesher
Israeli Liga Alef North
23.01.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Ironi Nesher	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:3 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Ironi Nesher	4:0 ✺
02.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Tamra	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Israeli Liga Alef North
23.01.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:3 ✺
02.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
18.09.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Ironi Nesher	0:1

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