Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 14

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel		Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	1.95	3.54	3.35
	2.03	3.3	3.27
	2.05	3.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.79)	3.37 ↓ (3.46)	3.21 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
44.8%

Draw
26.9%

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. H Tirat HaCarmel will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Shaaban M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Suissa I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 2, Saadi F. ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, Khalil R. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, H Tirat HaCarmel is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	6	1	1	4	7:11	-4	4
16	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	4	1	0	3	5:6	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Israeli Liga Alef North
02.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:1 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - MS Tira	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWL
- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
Israeli Liga Alef North
02.01.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:3 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Beit Shean	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Tzeirey Tamra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWLT

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide