Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Harborough Town		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.20	3.80
	1.65	4.20	4.80
	1.67	3.70	4.00
	1.61	4.39	4.43
	1.87	4.19	3.4	Watch
	1.59	4.10	3.85
	1.71	4.35	3.93	Watch
	1.64	4.20	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	4.17 ↑ (3.88)	4.03 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harborough Town
55%

Draw
22.1%

Spennymoor Town
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

24%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Harborough Town - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Arlott-John D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, Holcroft F. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Assombalonga B. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Putman E. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Harborough has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this matchup, Harborough is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English National League North
10.10.26	Harborough Town - Southport	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Harborough Town - St Albans City	3:2 ✺
English National League North
26.09.26	Macclesfield Town - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Harborough Town - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	Harborough Town - Hereford	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLTL
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
10.10.26	Brackley Town - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Spennymoor Town - Chester	4:1 ✺
English National League North
26.09.26	Southport - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Emley - Spennymoor Town	0:4 ✺
English National League North
12.09.26	Spennymoor Town - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English National League North
27.10.26	Buxton - Harborough Town	✺
24.10.26	Harborough Town - Worksop Town	✺
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
27.10.26	Spennymoor Town - South Shields	✺
24.10.26	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	✺

Harborough Town - Spennymoor Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide