Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 19

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)


	Harrogate Town		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	2
	3.6	3.4	2
	3.75	3.4	2	Watch
	3.93	3.39	2.04
	3.74	3.37	2	Watch
	3.7	3.3	2
	3.63	3.42	2.01	Watch
	3.75	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (3.92)	3.39 ↓ (3.47)	2.01 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
25.3%

Draw
27.8%

AFC Wimbledon
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.9%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.4%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 14. Sims T. 15. O'Connor A. 5. Moon J. 2. Asare Z. 4. Falkingham J. (C) 9. Duke-McKenna S. 17. Sutton L. 8. Cornelius D. 11. Daly J. 12. Folarin S.	1. Goodman O. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 5. O'Toole J. J. 6. Johnson R. (C) 11. Neufville J. 26. Harbottle R. 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 14. Stevens M. 10. Kelly J. 9. Bugiel O.
Substitutes
6. Burrell W. 10. Daly M. 3. Foulds M. 24. March J. 18. Muldoon J. 26. Muskwe A. 1. Oxley M. (G)	2. Biler H. 3. Furlong J. 39. Pigott J. 19. Sawyers R. 24. Sidwell H. 22. Ward L. (G) 27. Williams M.
Coaches
Weaver S.	Jackson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Kelly J. ⚽,
15', Falkingham J. ↓, Daly M. ↑,
22', O'Connor A. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, O'Toole J. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 3, Stevens M. ⚽, Kelly J. (A),
60', Folarin S. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
61', Daly J. 🟨,
72', Asare Z. ↓, Foulds M. ↑,
73', Kelly J. 🟨,
77', Bugiel O. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
90+1', Harbottle R. ↓, Sidwell H. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 18 and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Wimbledon have a series of home games.

In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Harrogate Town - the odds 3.92 are the expected chance of winning is 23.78%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
03.12.24	Salford City - Harrogate Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
29.11.24	Harrogate Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
English League Two
23.11.24	Gillingham - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Harrogate Town - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Harrogate Town - Blackpool	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWWWL
- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
03.12.24	AFC Wimbledon - Newport County	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	AFC Wimbledon - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:2 ✺
English League Two
26.11.24	Tranmere Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	AFC Wimbledon - Walsall	0:1 ✺
19.11.24	AFC Wimbledon - Accrington Stanley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
29.03.24	AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town	1:1
03.10.23	Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1
07.04.23	Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:2
29.10.22	AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town	3:2

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