Match Info

FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)


	Mansfield Town		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.2	5.75
	1.14	6.32	24.41	Watch
	1.56	4.2	5.3	Watch
	1.42	4.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)	4.81 ↑ (4.05)	10.45 ↑ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
70.1%

Draw
20.5%

Harrogate Town
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.7%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.9%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harrogate Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harrogate Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 3. McLaughlin S. (C) 8. Lewis A. 15. McDonnell J. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 24. Hendry R. 28. Gardner J. 18. Oates R.	1. Oxley M. (G) 2. Asare Z. 20. Faulkner B. 15. O'Connor A. 3. Slater J. 4. Evans J. (C) 8. Morris B. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 22. Smith R. 21. Taylor E. 18. Muldoon J.
Substitutes
7. Akins L. 9. Bowery J. 17. Dickov M. 14. Dwyer D. 10. Maris G. 12. Mason O. (G) 25. Reed L. 5. Sweeney R.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 5. Bradbury T. 6. Burrell W. 25. Cursons T. 27. Fox B. 30. Gibson L. 9. McCoulsky S. 17. Sutton L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Hendry R. ⚽, McLaughlin S. (A),
23', McDonnell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Hendry R. ↓, Maris G. ↑,
46', McDonnell J. ↓, Reed L. ↑,
54', Gardner J. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. ⚽, Muldoon J. (A),
67', 2 - 1, Maris G. ⚽, Bowery J. (A),
69', Oates R. ↓, Akins L. ↑,
73', Muldoon J. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, O'Connor A. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
81', O'Connor A. 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Maris G. ⚽, Moriah-Welsh N. (A),
84', McLaughlin S. ↓, Sweeney R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 2.

Recent performances by Mansfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Harrogate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mansfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mansfield is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League One
28.10.25	Mansfield Town - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Mansfield Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Luton Town - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
15.10.25	Mansfield Town - Newcastle United U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English League One
04.10.25	Reading - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWLT
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
25.10.25	Harrogate Town - Newport County	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Colchester United - Harrogate Town	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town	3:2 ✺
06.10.25	Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Harrogate Town - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
09.09.25	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	0:1
English League Two
13.02.24	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	9:2
24.10.23	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	1:4
29.04.23	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	1:2
19.11.22	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	3:0
01.02.22	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	0:0
04.09.21	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	1:3

Upcoming Matches