Match Info

League Two - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Harrogate Town		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.25	1.96	Watch
	3.7	3.35	1.98	Watch
	3.91	3.39	2.06
	3.09	3.41	2.17	Watch
	3.73	3.28	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.09)	3.34 ↓ (3.41)	2.04 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
25.9%

Draw
28.1%

Oldham Athletic
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

27.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.3%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Harrogate Town - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Oldham will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oxley M. (G) 6. Burrell W. (C) 15. O'Connor A. 20. Faulkner B. 3. Slater J. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 9. McCoulsky S. 21. Taylor E. 18. Muldoon J.	1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 6. Monthe M. 5. Daniels D. 24. Robson J. 4. Pett T. (C) 8. Woods R. 27. Hammond O. 19. Hannant L. 14. Garner J. 28. Mellon M.
Substitutes
2. Asare Z. 31. Belshaw J. (G) 25. Cursons T. 27. Fox B. 30. Gibson L. 22. Smith R. 17. Sutton L.	31. Donaghy T. (G) 15. Drummond K. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 3. Leake J. 26. Payne K. 17. Quigley J. 40. Simeu D.
Coaches
Weaver S.	Mellon M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Monthe M. ⚽,
24', O'Connor A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Mellon M. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
65', Woods R. 🟨,
67', Garner J. 🟨,
69', Hammond O. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
72', Taylor E. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
79', 🟨,
79', Woods R. 🟨,
81', Garner J. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
86', Burrell W. ↓, Asare Z. ↑,
90+7', Evans J. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 19 and 18)

Harrogate is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oldham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oldham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Harrogate: Barnes L. (Inactive) Bennett M. (Inactive) Cass L. (Ankle Injury) Hill T. (Hamstring Injury) Thomson G. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury) Stevens J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	3:2 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Harrogate Town - Newport County	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Colchester United - Harrogate Town	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town	3:2 ✺
06.10.25	Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Oldham Athletic
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Oldham Athletic - Northampton Town	3:1 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Oldham Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Salford City - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Oldham Athletic - Barrow	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Rotherham United - Oldham Athletic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
22.01.22	Harrogate Town - Oldham Athletic	3:0
02.10.21	Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town	1:2
20.04.21	Harrogate Town - Oldham Athletic	0:3
26.12.20	Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town	1:2

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