Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Hartberg (Hartberg)

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport Austria 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Hartberg		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.68	Watch
	4.50	3.90	1.68
	4.45	3.7	1.72
	4.9	3.8	1.78
	4.77	3.79	1.73	Watch
	4.85	3.65	1.75
	4.86	3.84	1.74	Watch
	4.6	3.8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4.61)	3.78 ↓ (3.85)	1.72 (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartberg
20.2%

Draw
25%

Sturm Graz
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.5%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

24.1%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Hartberg aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	6.2%	87.5%

Hartberg - Sturm Graz Predictions

Users Predictions: Sturm Graz will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Pecsi A. (G) 19. Spendlhofer L. 14. Komposch P. 18. Wilfinger F. 4. Markus B. 6. Coulibaly H. 5. Diarra Y. 27. Schopp K. 23. Kainz T. (C) 22. Hoffmann M. 7. Gattermayer A.	53. Khudyakov D. (G) 28. Heil J. 5. Vallci A. 2. Mitchell J. 27. Balbo L. 39. Weinhandl L. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 20. Jatta S. 43. Hodl J. 15. Mamageishvili G. 17. Wlodarczyk S.
Substitutes
16. Dalpiaz M. 11. Drew J. 95. Feldhofer N. 28. Gerstl F. 17. Karner J. 10. Lukic O. 21. Maric L. (G) 70. Onuoha C. 9. Urrutia A.	80. Fosso R. 22. Helac A. (G) 11. Kayombo A. 30. Koller P. 23. Malic A. 21. Petrovic P. 19. Seidl S. 18. Soglo E. 44. Weiper N.
Coaches
Schopp M.	Ingolitsch F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Schopp K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Schopp K. 🟨,
62', Balbo L. ↓, Soglo E. ↑,
62', Wlodarczyk S. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
62', Mamageishvili G. ↓, Seidl S. ↑,
64', Gattermayer A. ↓, Drew J. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Weiper N. ⚽, Seidl S. (A),
71', Hoffmann M. ↓, Urrutia A. ↑,
71', Diarra Y. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,
78', Jatta S. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Weiper N. ⚽, Seidl S. (A),
82', Coulibaly H. ↓, Onuoha C. ↑,
82', Kainz T. ↓, Feldhofer N. ↑,
84', Heil J. ↓, Koller P. ↑,
90+4', Vallci A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 0.

Hartberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sturm is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sturm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sturm has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sturm is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartberg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Sturm Graz: 7.79% Hartberg: 0.56%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8:9	-1	11
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10:13	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Hartberg - the odds 4.61 are the expected chance of winning is 20.5%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga
01.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	1:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.07.26	Imst - Hartberg	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Hartberg - ASK Voitsberg	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Hartberg - First Vienna	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Hartberg - Příbram	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW
- Sturm Graz
UEFA Champions League
05.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
01.08.26	Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Hearts - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
24.07.26	Seekirchen - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Sturm Graz - Hearts	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
10.05.26	Hartberg - Sturm Graz	2:4
12.04.26	Sturm Graz - Hartberg	0:0
30.11.25	Hartberg - Sturm Graz	0:1
28.09.25	Sturm Graz - Hartberg	1:0
09.11.24	Hartberg - Sturm Graz	1:2
11.08.24	Sturm Graz - Hartberg	2:0
05.05.24	Sturm Graz - Hartberg	1:1

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