Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday


	Dorking Wanderers		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	3	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.02	3.84	2.2
	2.5	3.3	2.38
	3.04	3.7	2.1
	2.9	3.65	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.4)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	2.19 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
31.7%

Draw
25.9%

Wealdstone
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.2%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorking Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Wealdstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wealdstone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wealdstone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Dorking Wanderers - Wealdstone Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Dorking will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Wealdstone will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wealdstone: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 29. Blair T. 30. Bowerman S. 5. Craig T. (C) 37. Francomb G. 20. Gallagher D. 11. McShane J. 9. Prior J. 4. Pybus D. 3. Taylor B. 17. Taylor J.	13. Ward J. (G) 20. Abdulmalik A. 7. Allarakhia T. 11. Andrews C. 3. Barker C. 22. Bowen S. 2. Cook J. (C) 8. Ferguson N. 23. Mundle-Smith J. J. 14. Obiero M. 18. Smith K.
Substitutes
8. Briggs M. 12. Kennedy C. 25. Kuhl A. 24. Ottaway H. 19. Seager R.	27. Adarkwa S. 6. Barrett M. 4. Charles A. 19. Clayden C. 10. Kretzschmar M.

Preview

Recent matches Dorking is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wealdstone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wealdstone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dorking won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorking won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
16.09.23	Halifax Town - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Oldham Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
28.08.23	Woking - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Dorking Wanderers - York City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTTLT
- Wealdstone
English National League
16.09.23	Wealdstone - Altrincham	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Wealdstone - Ebbsfleet United	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Hartlepool United - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Wealdstone - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Aldershot Town - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.04.23	Wealdstone - Dorking Wanderers	2:2
22.10.22	Dorking Wanderers - Wealdstone	3:1
English National League South
22.02.20	Wealdstone - Dorking Wanderers	3:1
02.11.19	Dorking Wanderers - Wealdstone	2:2

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