Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 36

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)

Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hatayspor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.7
	2.5	3.35	2.75	Watch
	2.54	3.47	2.85
	2.62	3.39	2.81
	2.4	3.5	2.7
	2.6	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.47	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.72 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
37.6%

Draw
27.7%

Ankaragücü
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.5%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hatayspor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	63.6%	0%

Hatayspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kardesler E. (G) 2. Corekci K. 3. Kilama G. 27. Demir C. 13. Ghoulam F. 4. Massanga Matondo 70. Sinik D. 8. Boudjemaa M. 17. Dele-Bashiru F. 77. Fernandes J. 10. Strandberg C.	25. Ozbir E. (G) 4. Cankaya A. R. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 70. Kitsiou S. 8. Pedrinho 13. Bassogog C. 19. Flips A. 10. Bekiroglu E. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 22. Sowe A.
Substitutes
29. Aburjania G. 22. Alici K. 12. Bekaj V. (G) 7. Beyaz O. 9. Dadashov R. 11. Dervisoglu H. 31. Matur O. 14. Rui Pedro 5. Saglam G. 88. Sertel C.	9. Bajic R. 29. Cephas R. 45. Cetin M. 23. Guneren A. K. 99. Gungordu B. (G) 35. Karatas K. 32. Macheda F. 11. Rodrigues G. 17. Saponara R. 6. Turkmen C.
Coaches
Pulat O.	Belozoglu E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Sinik D. 🟨,
34', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sinik D. ↓, Rui Pedro ↑,
53', Corekci K. 🟨,
64', Sowe A. ↓, Macheda F. ↑,
64', Flips A. ↓, Guneren A. K. ↑,
69', Strandberg C. ↓, Dervisoglu H. ↑,
69', Boudjemaa M. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Saglam G. ⚽, Rui Pedro (A),
71', Bassogog C. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
74', Ghoulam F. 🟨,
80', Chatzigiovanis A. ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
80', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Saponara R. ↑,
81', Kardesler E. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Macheda F. ⚽, Rodrigues G. (A),
87', Ghoulam F. ↓, Sertel C. ↑,
87', Fernandes J. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Dadashov R. ⚽, Rui Pedro (A),
90+1', Demir C. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+7', Rui Pedro 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 1.

Hatayspor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ankaragücü is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hatayspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Hatayspor: Yilmaz R. B. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Ankaragücü: Cigerci T. (Yellow Cards) Morutan O. (Knee Injury) Uludag A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
05.05.24	Gaziantep - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Antalyaspor - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Hatayspor - İstanbulspor	0:3 ✺
02.04.24	Galatasaray - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Cup
07.05.24	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.05.24	Ankaragücü - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Ankaragücü	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
23.04.24	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.04.24	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
21.12.23	Ankaragücü - Hatayspor	0:0
30.10.22	Ankaragücü - Hatayspor	4:1
27.02.21	Hatayspor - Ankaragücü	4:1
15.12.20	Ankaragücü - Hatayspor	2:0
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Ankaragücü - Hatayspor	2:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
18.12.16	Hatayspor - Ankaragücü	1:1
09.02.15	Hatayspor - Ankaragücü	2:1

Hatayspor - Ankaragücü: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide