Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 24

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday

Location: Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 2


	Hatayspor		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.6	3.15	2.75	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.84
	2.76	3.18	2.85
	2.45	3.25	2.62
	2.66	3.34	2.85	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.12)	3.18 ↓ (3.7)	2.76 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
36.1%

Draw
29.6%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

25.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.3%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hatayspor's form might have worsened.

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hatayspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	36.8%	26.3%

Hatayspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hatayspor: 15.1% – 58.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kardesler E. (C) 2. Corekci K. 3. Kilama G. 15. Yilmaz R. B. 88. Sertel C. 5. Saglam G. 77. Fernandes J. 4. Massanga Matondo 17. Dele-Bashiru F. 99. Rivas R. 10. Strandberg C.	31. Sirigu S. (G) 4. Biraschi D. 54. Dursun S. 26. Ceccherini F. 18. Mercan L. 91. Bertolacci A. 6. Rohden M. 11. Mor E. 9. Eysseric V. 10. Yalcin G. 19. Dursun S.
Substitutes
22. Alici K. 12. Bekaj V. (G) 8. Boudjemaa M. 9. Dadashov R. 27. Demir C. 13. Ghoulam F. 18. Hodzic A. 19. Maksimovic N. 6. Parmak A. 11. Sinik D.	23. Bilgin E. (G) 8. Feghouli S. 25. Gunter K. 7. Keles C. 21. Kourbelis D. 15. Lasagna K. 97. Paoletti F. 99. Teklic T. 22. Tintis E. 3. Veseli F.
Coaches
Demirel V.	Arveladze S.

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
27.01.24	Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor	0:1 ✺
23.01.24	Hatayspor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
16.01.24	Hatayspor - Sakaryaspor	5:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Hatayspor - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLWT
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
28.01.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor	4:0 ✺
24.01.24	Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
16.01.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kırklarelispor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Beşiktaş - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.09.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	0:0
15.10.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	3:0
12.03.22	Hatayspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0
24.10.21	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	1:1
06.04.21	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	1:0
12.12.20	Hatayspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:1
Turkish First League
07.02.20	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	1:1

Upcoming Matches