Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)

Referee: Hagen T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Discovery+


	Jerv		Sandefjord

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.6	3.6	2.6
	2.55	3.45	2.55
	2.62	3.72	2.65
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.59	3.48	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.83)	3.51 ↑ (3.18)	2.59 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
36.9%

Draw
26.8%

Sandefjord
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.3%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

30%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	32.4%	26.5%

Jerv - Sandefjord Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). Sandefjord will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jerv: 24.7% – 57.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 11).

Jerv has the most likely position - 15 (42.25%), has project points - 24, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (77%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sandefjord has the most likely position - 13 (13.79%), has project points - 35, has currently - 14, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 19, importance 39, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerv won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Jerv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Jerv won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Eliteserien
10.07.22	Rosenborg - Jerv	3:2 ✺
06.07.22	Molde - Jerv	1:1 ✺
02.07.22	Jerv - Haugesund	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.06.22	Fram Larvik - Jerv	1:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.06.22	Jerv - Hamarkameratene	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LTWWL
- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.07.22	Sandefjord - Aalesunds	2:2 ✺
03.07.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	4:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
29.06.22	Byåsen - Sandefjord	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.06.22	Sandefjord - Tromsø	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.06.22	Flint - Sandefjord	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.02.22	Sandefjord - Jerv	4:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.19	Sandefjord - Jerv	1:0
30.06.19	Jerv - Sandefjord	0:2
Norwegian NM Cup
22.05.19	Jerv - Sandefjord	1:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.09.16	Jerv - Sandefjord	2:2
26.06.16	Sandefjord - Jerv	3:2

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