Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.6
	1.81	3.53	3.59
	1.84	3.84	3.78	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.3
	1.76	3.58	3.94
	1.67	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)	3.63 ↓ (3.77)	3.62 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
50.4%

Draw
24.8%

Yate Town
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

24%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

24.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Havant & Waterlooville - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Mannings R. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Seager R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, (Own goal),
69', 1 - 3, Taylor A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17).

Havant is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yate is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Havant is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Havant won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
18.04.26	Poole Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Plymouth Parkway - Havant & Waterlooville	3:3 ✺
06.04.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Evesham United	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWWW
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
18.04.26	Yate Town - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Gosport Borough - Yate Town	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Yate Town - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Chertsey Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Yate Town - Hanwell Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.12.25	Yate Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2

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