Match Info

League Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Bridge Meadow Stadium (Haverfordwest)


	Haverfordwest County		Newport City

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.39	4.4	6.4
	1.42	4.3	5.86
	1.28	5.94	7.51	Watch
	1.44	5.61	5.08
	1.34	4.85	6.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	4.91 ↓ (5.4)	6.24 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haverfordwest County
66.6%

Draw
18.7%

Newport City
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

16.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

16.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Haverfordwest County - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Fawcett B. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Hawkins D. ⚽,
40', Noyes R. 🟨,
43', Owen L. 🟨,
44', Jarvis N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Ahmun B. ⚽,
73', 4 - 0, Fawcett B. ⚽,
77', 5 - 0, Shephard C. ⚽,
84', 🟨,

Preview

Haverfordwest has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newport City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Haverfordwest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Haverfordwest is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haverfordwest County
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Haverfordwest County - Floriana	2:3 ✺
08.07.25	Floriana - Haverfordwest County	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Carmarthen Town - Haverfordwest County	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Linfield - Haverfordwest County	4:0 ✺
21.06.25	Haverfordwest County - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLW
- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
25.07.25	Newport City - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.07.25	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Newport City	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Newport City	5:3 ✺
05.07.25	Barry Town United - Newport City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTLL

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