The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Haverfordwest County 18.7%
Draw 23.2%
Caernarfon Town 58.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.5%
23.4%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
22.5%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
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0%
0%
Haverfordwest County - Caernarfon Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Caernarfon could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Caernarfon is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Haverfordwest has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:20 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Haverfordwest against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).