Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Szabolcs K. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+
United-kingdom	S4C Clic, S4C


	Floriana		Haverfordwest County

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	6	Watch
	1.39	4.33	7.25
	1.47	3.75	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.09	8.65
				Watch
	1.4	4.2	8
	1.43	4.45	7.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)	4.19 ↓ (4.5)	7.46 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floriana
65.4%

Draw
22.2%

Haverfordwest County
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19.8%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	13.6%	22.7%

Floriana - Haverfordwest County Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Floriana will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Haverfordwest will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Floriana: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Floriana (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Haverfordwest (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Floriana (1.98) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Floriana (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Haverfordwest (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cioletti G. (G) 77. Garzia A. 2. Lopez L. 34. Mendonca I. 25. Gamarra G. 24. M'Mombwa C. 12. Vella D. (C) 8. Grech J. 70. Veselji M. 19. Jah M. 10. Varela F.	31. Rees L. (G) 2. Rees D. (C) 17. McCarthy K. 5. Jones A. 7. Watts R. 8. Shephard C. 10. Hawkins D. 18. Walters G. 3. Abbruzzese R. 9. Fawcett B. 28. Ahmun B.
Substitutes
18. Cassar N. 7. De Flavia A. 13. Farrugia D. 1. Fillion Y. (G) 27. Glisovic T. 14. Micallef E. 20. Piscopo E. 11. Scerri Z. 17. Spiteri O. 21. Zammit Lonardelli C. 99. Zerafa N.	23. Hughes W. 24. Humphreys I. 27. James O. 20. Jones O. 1. Knott I. (G) 26. Mathias C. (G) 14. Owen L. 4. Scotcher E. 21. Watkins A.
Coaches
Abdilla D.	Pennock T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Walters G. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Ahmun B. ⚽, Fawcett B. (A),
34', Veselji M. 🟨,
36', McCarthy K. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Gamarra G. ⚽, Varela F. (A),
45', Jones A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 1, Grech J. (Pen),
69', Veselji M. ↓, Glisovic T. ↑,
70', Jones A. ↓, Scotcher E. ↑,
72', M'Mombwa C. 🟨,
77', Ahmun B. ↓, Jones O. ↑,
87', Scotcher E. 🟨,
88', Jah M. ↓, Spiteri O. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Centenary Stadium.

Haverfordwest is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Floriana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Floriana is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floriana FC
Maltese FA Trophy
14.05.25	Birkirkara - Floriana	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
09.05.25	Sliema Wanderers - Floriana	0:4 ✺
05.05.25	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	0:1 penalties ✺
30.04.25	Floriana - Birkirkara	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Floriana - Mosta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLTW
- Haverfordwest County
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Carmarthen Town - Haverfordwest County	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Linfield - Haverfordwest County	4:0 ✺
21.06.25	Haverfordwest County - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
14.06.25	Haverfordwest County - Baglan Dragons	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.05.25	Haverfordwest County - Caernarfon Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWWW

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