Match Info
Premier League - Round 27Date: 13 April 2026, Monday
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Arba Minch |
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Saint George |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.35 |
2.62 |
2.3 |
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3.49 |
2.59 |
2.31 |
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3.54 |
2.61 |
2.37 |
 Watch |
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3.3 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
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3.41 |
2.62 |
2.35 |
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3.05 |
2.82 |
2.38 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↑
(3.05) |
2.63 ↓
(2.82) |
2.34 ↓
(2.38) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arba Minch
26.9% | Draw
34.4% | Saint George
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-1.1%)Arba Minch - Saint George Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. Saint George might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | St. George | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 54 |
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| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 35 |
Last Results with these Odds
Saint George - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 02.12.25 | Saint George - Arba Minch | 1:0 | | 08.06.25 | Arba Minch - Saint George | 0:0 | | 03.11.24 | Saint George - Arba Minch | 1:0 | | 26.04.23 | Arba Minch - Saint George | 0:1 | | 06.11.22 | Saint George - Arba Minch | 1:1 | | 27.06.22 | Arba Minch - Saint George | 0:1 | | 23.02.22 | Saint George - Arba Minch | 1:1 |
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