Match Info

Premiership - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Lee R. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
United-kingdom	Hearts TV, Saints TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hearts		St. Johnstone

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.75	4.33
	1.70	3.80	4.40
	1.65	3.75	4.70	Watch
	1.80	4.06	4.49
	1.73	3.99	4.47	Watch
	1.76	3.90	4.35
	1.80	3.85	4.45	Watch
	1.80	4.00	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	3.89 ↑ (3.83)	4.46 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
54.4%

Draw
24.4%

St. Johnstone
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

23.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Hearts - St. Johnstone Predictions

Users Predictions: Hearts will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reus B. (G) 23. Altena J. 6. McEntee O. 17. Findlay S. (C) 2. Borchgrevink C. 22. Magnusson T. 78. Mendy L. 29. Kerjota S. 10. Braga C. 15. McPake J. 21. Wilson J.	1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 5. Mitchell Z. 3. Diabate C. 2. Alic E. 11. Stanton S. 42. McAlear R. 8. Holt J. (C) 10. Gullan J. 9. Fowler J. 99. Paton R.
Substitutes
77. Ba-Sy A. 30. Fulton R. (G) 19. Guendouz S. 11. Kabore P. 24. Kamara M. 74. Mato R. 7. Miller C. 16. Spittal B. 9. Williams J.	4. Boyes M. 23. Chalmers L. 18. Fotheringham K. 14. Foulds M. 6. Mikulic B. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 7. Steven T. 25. Tait M. 26. Todd M.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Valakari S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Wilson J. ⚽, McPake J. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Alic E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Paton R. ⚽, Stanton S. (A),
57', Mendy L. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
57', Wilson J. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
72', Stanton S. ↓, Tait M. ↑,
73', Paton R. ↓, Fotheringham K. ↑,
73', Gullan J. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
81', Kerjota S. ↓, Miller C. ↑,
90+2', Smith L. ↓, Chalmers L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 5.

Hearts is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

St. Johnstone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St. Johnstone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hearts has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hearts is the team to beat.

There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Thigh Injury) Fagan-Walcott M. (Inactive) Halkett C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kingsley S. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Hearts: Renaud T. (Injury)

We predict that Hearts will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:6. (average 2:0.6).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Hearts: 4.18% St Johnstone: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Hearts	7	4	1	2	14:8	6	13
6	St Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Hearts - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.99%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.08.26	Rapid Wien - Hearts	2:3 penalties ✺
20.08.26	Hearts - Rapid Wien	2:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Hearts - Inverness	6:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Hearts - Benfica	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
09.08.26	Hearts - Dundee United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTWTW
- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Premier League
08.08.26	St. Mirren - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	St. Johnstone - Kilmarnock	4:3 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	St. Johnstone - East Fife	1:2 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Inverness - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	St. Johnstone - Greenock Morton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
14.05.25	Hearts - St. Johnstone	2:1
23.02.25	St. Johnstone - Hearts	1:2
22.12.24	Hearts - St. Johnstone	2:1
02.11.24	St. Johnstone - Hearts	1:2
07.02.24	St. Johnstone - Hearts	0:1
25.11.23	Hearts - St. Johnstone	1:0
05.08.23	St. Johnstone - Hearts	0:2

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