Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF 1, ORF On
Germany	Laola1
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
United-kingdom	Hearts TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hearts		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.5
	2.45	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.56	2.62
	2.53	3.63	2.62	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.55
	2.54	3.64	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.36)	3.53 ↑ (3.49)	2.58 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
37.5%

Draw
26.4%

Rapid Wien
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.6%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hearts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	22.7%	31.8%

Hearts - Rapid Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Rapid will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rapid (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hearts (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 3 - 60%). Rapid (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reus B. (G) 23. Altena J. 6. McEntee O. 17. Findlay S. 12. Renaud T. 16. Spittal B. (C) 5. McCart J. 7. Miller C. 10. Braga C. 15. McPake J. 11. Kabore P.	1. Hedl N. (G) 77. Bolla B. 55. Cvetkovic N. 6. Raux-Yao S. 38. Horn J. 18. Seidl M. (C) 29. Amane R. 22. Demir Y. 8. Adamsen T. 10. Dahl P. 9. Kara E.
Substitutes
77. Ba-Sy A. 2. Borchgrevink C. 30. Fulton R. (G) 19. Guendouz S. 24. Kamara M. 29. Kerjota S. 22. Magnusson T. 74. Mato R. 21. Wilson J. 34. Wright K. (G)	23. Auer J. 30. Bajlicz N. 61. Demir F. 25. Gartler P. (G) 51. Goschl B. (G) 47. Groller A. 43. Haidara M. 28. Oswald M. 2. Roka E. 21. Schaub L. 7. Tilio M. 15. Wurmbrand N.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Thorup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Raux-Yao S. ⚽, Seidl M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Braga C. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Raux-Yao S. (Own goal),
56', Kabore P. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽, Braga C. (A),
66', Dahl P. 🟨,
72', McPake J. ↓, Mato R. ↑,
76', Dahl P. ↓, Wurmbrand N. ↑,
76', Adamsen T. ↓, Bajlicz N. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Wurmbrand N. ⚽, Bajlicz N. (A),
80', Renaud T. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
83', Demir Y. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
87', Amane R. 🟨,
90+3', Amane R. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
90+5', Bajlicz N. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Hearts has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rapid is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rapid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Hearts: 0.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Rapid Wien - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.12%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Hearts - Inverness	6:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Hearts - Benfica	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
09.08.26	Hearts - Dundee United	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Benfica - Hearts	6:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
01.08.26	Aberdeen - Hearts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLL
- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
16.08.26	Rapid Wien - Grazer AK	8:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.26	Rapid Wien - Paide LM	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
09.08.26	Ried - Rapid Wien	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Paide LM - Rapid Wien	1:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.26	Rapid Wien - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

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