Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Portugal	Sport TV5
United-kingdom	Hearts TV
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Hearts		Benfica

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.42	Watch
	6	4.75	1.47
	5.9	4.6	1.46	Watch
	6.42	5.17	1.43
	6.52	5.08	1.42	Watch
	6.25	5.05	1.38
	6.96	5.15	1.44
	6.4	4.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.37 ↑ (6.18)	4.84 ↑ (4.66)	1.43 (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
14.8%

Draw
19.4%

Benfica
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

20%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

19.5%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Hearts - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Benfica will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reus B. (G) 23. Altena J. 6. McEntee O. 17. Findlay S. 5. McCart J. 16. Spittal B. (C) 12. Renaud T. 7. Miller C. 19. Guendouz S. 15. McPake J. 10. Braga C.	24. Soares S. (G) 17. Dedic A. 16. Manu 2. Lenglet C. (C) 62. Neto J. 20. Rios R. 5. Barrenechea E. 11. Lukebakio D. 10. Sudakov G. 21. Schjelderup A. 22. Duran J.
Substitutes
77. Ba-Sy A. 30. Fulton R. (G) 39. Gillies M. 11. Kabore P. 24. Kamara M. 29. Kerjota S. 22. Magnusson T. 21. Wilson J.	44. Araujo T. 6. Bah A. 58. Banjaqui D. 18. Barreiro L. 26. Dahl S. 73. Figueiredo M. 33. Gabriel Indio 13. Kaminski J. 14. Pavlidis V. 25. Prestianni G. 27. Rafa Silva 1. Trubin A. (G)
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Braga C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lenglet C. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
64', Sudakov G. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
64', Barrenechea E. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
64', Renaud T. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
75', Guendouz S. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
75', Miller C. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
76', Braga C. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Magnusson T. ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Lukebakio D. ⚽, Neto J. (A),
79', Schjelderup A. ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
79', Lukebakio D. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
84', McEntee O. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-6.

Hearts is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Benfica is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Benfica has had a series of home games.

In this match, Benfica is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hearts won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Benfica: 7.38%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
09.08.26	Hearts - Dundee United	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Benfica - Hearts	6:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
01.08.26	Aberdeen - Hearts	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Hearts - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Sturm Graz - Hearts	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
09.08.26	Benfica - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Benfica - Hearts	6:1 ✺
30.07.26	Benfica - St. Gallen	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Benfica - Belenenses	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	St. Gallen - Benfica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Benfica - Hearts	6:1

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