Match Info

National League North - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Neuven Stadium (Radcliffe)


	Radcliffe		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.60	2.00
	3.10	3.50	1.95
	3.10	3.45	1.98
	3.36	3.88	2.00
	3.02	3.81	2.1	Watch
	3.20	3.80	1.98
	3.12	3.74	2.08
	3.05	3.55	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.65)	3.67 ↑ (3.54)	2.02 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
29.4%

Draw
25%

Oxford City
45.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

25.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.4%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Radcliffe - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Pollock S. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Marsh T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 3, Ashby J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Oxford City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oxford City might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Radcliffe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Radcliffe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oxford City	11	7	2	2	21:7	14	23
20	Radcliffe	12	4	0	8	15:21	-6	12

Outrights of English National League North for now

Oxford City: 7.31% Radcliffe: 0.73%

Last Results with these Odds

Radcliffe - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.33%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English National League North
08.09.26	Radcliffe - Hebburn Town	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bedford Town - Radcliffe	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Radcliffe - Darlington	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Marine - Radcliffe	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Radcliffe - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW
- Oxford City
English National League North
08.09.26	AFC Telford United - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Oxford City - Chorley	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Worksop Town - Oxford City	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Oxford City - Buxton	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Spennymoor Town - Oxford City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
03.02.26	Radcliffe - Oxford City	1:0
30.08.25	Oxford City - Radcliffe	1:5
29.03.25	Oxford City - Radcliffe	1:0
26.10.24	Radcliffe - Oxford City	1:3

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