Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Cleethorpes Town

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.3	3.6
	1.88	3.58	3.74	Watch
	1.86	3.34	3.78
	1.74	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.88)	3.46 ↓ (3.58)	3.81 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
49.6%

Draw
26.4%

Cleethorpes Town
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

25%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cleethorpes Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Cleethorpes Town aligns with the current prediction.

Hednesford Town - Cleethorpes Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Trickett-Smith D. ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Hednesford is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cleethorpes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hednesford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hednesford has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hednesford is a strong favorite.

We predict that Hednesford will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hednesford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hednesford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
18.11.25	Hednesford Town - Bamber Bridge	3:0 ✺
11.11.25	Hednesford Town - Hyde United	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Hednesford Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Guiseley - Hednesford Town	1:5 ✺
28.10.25	Hednesford Town - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL
- Cleethorpes Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.11.25	Guiseley - Cleethorpes Town	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Cleethorpes Town - Lancaster City	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Ashton United - Cleethorpes Town	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	Cleethorpes Town - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Rushall Olympic - Cleethorpes Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
07.09.21	Cleethorpes Town - Hednesford Town	2:1
English FA Trophy
15.11.17	Cleethorpes Town - Hednesford Town	2:1
11.11.17	Hednesford Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:1

Upcoming Matches