Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Lancaster City		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.4	3.35
	2.6	3.28	2.52
	1.97	3.58	3.44	Watch
	1.86	3.42	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.97)	3.42 ↓ (3.58)	3.26 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
44.4%

Draw
27.1%

Hednesford Town
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Lancaster City - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Lancaster is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Hednesford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Hednesford has had a series of away games.

Lancaster will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lancaster won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
11.10.25	Leek Town - Lancaster City	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.25	Prescot Cables - Lancaster City	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Lancaster City - Guiseley	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Ashton United - Lancaster City	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Lancaster City - Ilkeston	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTWW
- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.10.25	Whitby Town - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Harborough Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Billericay Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Hednesford Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Leek Town - Hednesford Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.03.19	Lancaster City - Hednesford Town	2:2
16.10.18	Hednesford Town - Lancaster City	0:1
30.12.17	Lancaster City - Hednesford Town	0:1
26.08.17	Hednesford Town - Lancaster City	1:1

Upcoming Matches