Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Brazil	10:30	Disney+
Canada	09:30	Sportsnet+
Chile	10:30	Disney+
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Croatia	14:30	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 12
Czech Republic	14:30	Oneplay
Italy	14:30	Como TV
Japan	22:30	U-NEXT
Mexico	07:30	Disney+
Netherlands	14:30	ESPN
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Spain	14:30	DAZN Espana
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+


	NEC Nijmegen		Groningen

	1	X	2
	1.9	4	3.6	Watch
	2.20	4.00	2.87
	1.92	4.05	3.45
	1.94	4.2	3.64
	2.01	4.05	3.24	Watch
	1.92	4.1	3.5
	1.93	4.05	3.64	Watch
	1.9	3.9	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.08)	4.04 ↑ (3.87)	3.42 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
48.5%

Draw
23.6%

Groningen
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

25.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

NEC Nijmegen - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Groningen will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Groningen (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 4. Schuurs P. 22. Kaplan A. 24. Fonville D. 34. Kers K. 6. Nejasmic D. 35. Monteiro J. 99. Bischoff C. 9. Chery T. (C) 20. Lebreton N. 30. Linssen B.	1. Vaessen E. (G) 33. Hateboer H. 3. Blokzijl T. (C) 5. Rente M. 4. Csinger M. 8. de Jonge T. 24. Clement P. 14. Schreuders J. 26. van Bergen T. 17. van der Werff D. 9. Willumsson B.
Substitutes
5. Bakker M. 73. Bras G. 36. Entius F. (G) 18. Geiger D. 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 66. Kabar A. 12. Polster N. (G) 14. Sierhuis K. 21. Storm T. 19. Tahaui A. 11. Willumsson W. T.	30. Boevink P. (G) 12. Brandis N. 44. Dillema J. 20. Eggens N. 7. Hernes T. 18. Land T. 42. Mosselaar J. 16. Nordin A. 11. Ondrejka J. 2. Prins W. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 19. Zawada O.
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Lukkien D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Willumsson B. ⚽, Rente M. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Willumsson B. ⚽, van Bergen T. (A),
42', Willumsson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Schuurs P. ↓, Storm T. ↑,
56', van der Werff D. 🟨,
56', Kaplan A. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
56', Fonville D. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Bischoff C. ⚽, Nejasmic D. (A),
68', Kers K. ↓, Tahaui A. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Lebreton N. ⚽,
72', Csinger M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
73', Willumsson B. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
73', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
77', van der Werff D. ↓, Hernes T. ↑,
79', Hateboer H. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 13th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Groningen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Nijmegen: Mor E. (Groin Injury) Moslih Y. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Ankle Injury) Sandler P. (Injury) Tadic D. (Calf Injury).

Confirmed absences for Groningen: Jeng M. (Leg Injury) Mercera T. (Injury) van der Laan E. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nijmegen has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:26 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nijmegen against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:8 goals (averaging 2.3:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Groningen	10	4	3	3	24:21	3	15
12	Nijmegen	10	2	5	3	17:18	-1	11

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Groningen: 0.21% Nijmegen: 0.17%

Last Results with these Odds

NEC Nijmegen - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.46%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Dinamo Zagreb - NEC Nijmegen	2:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.26	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	NEC Nijmegen - Levski Sofia	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.10.26	Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTTTT
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.26	Groningen - Ajax	2:5 ✺
11.10.26	Excelsior - Groningen	1:5 ✺
18.09.26	Groningen - Zwolle	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Groningen - Twente	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
10.05.26	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	2:1
09.11.25	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	2:0
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
08.02.25	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	2:1
03.11.24	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	6:0
25.04.23	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	0:1
26.08.22	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	1:1

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