Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	U-NEXT
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	NEC Nijmegen		Groningen

	1	X	2
	2	3.8	3.4	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.45
	2.06	3.56	3.73
	1.85	4.01	3.73	Watch
	2.04	3.62	3.64	Watch
	1.91	3.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)	3.74 ↓ (4.01)	3.58 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
47.9%

Draw
25.5%

Groningen
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

23.6%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	15.8%	10.5%

NEC Nijmegen - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Groningen will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Groningen (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 3. Sandler P. 4. Kaplan A. 25. Ouaissa S. 23. Sano K. 6. Nejasmic D. 5. Ouwejan T. 10. Chery T. (C) 18. Ogawa K. 30. Linssen B.	1. Vaessen E. (G) 5. Rente M. 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 6. Resink S. (C) 8. de Jonge T. 17. van der Werff D. 10. Taha Y. 14. Schreuders J. 26. van Bergen T.
Substitutes
22. Cillessen J. (G) 24. Fonville D. 21. Gonzalez R. 31. Janse R. (G) 20. Lebreton N. 7. Misidjan V. 11. Onal B. 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. 9. Shiogai K. 32. van Crooij V. 15. Willems J.	44. Dillema J. 11. Emeran N. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 18. Land T. 27. Mendes R. 16. Mercera T. 2. Prins W. 20. Seuntjens M. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 9. Willumsson B. 19. Zawada O.
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Lukkien D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', de Jonge T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
46', Ouwejan T. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Sano K. ⚽, Onal B. (A),
58', van der Werff D. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Shiogai K. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
69', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
69', Taha Y. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
71', Ouaissa S. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
82', Kaplan A. 🟨,
84', van Bergen T. ↓, Emeran N. ↑,
84', Schreuders J. ↓, Mendes R. ↑,
87', Linssen B. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
90', Sandler P. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of away games.

Nijmegen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y. (Inactive) Entius F. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nijmegen: Onal B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Groningen: Hernes T. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.25	Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Rijnsburgse Boys - NEC Nijmegen	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTTT
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.25	Groningen - Twente	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	5:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Fortuna Sittard - Groningen	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	NAC Breda - Groningen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.25	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
08.02.25	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	2:1
03.11.24	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	6:0
25.04.23	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	0:1
26.08.22	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	1:1
12.03.22	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	4:3
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.01.22	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	1:2

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