The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wellington Phoenix 40.9%
Draw 26.3%
Perth Glory 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
26.5%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
25.7%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Perth will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Oluwayemi J. (G) 3. Piper C. 6. Payne T. 28. Tuiloma B. 15. Hughes I. 12. Edwards D. 8. Retre P. 14. Rufer A. (C) 25. Nagasawa K. 20. Najjarine R. 7. Eze I.
29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 45. Kaltack B. 4. Wootton S. (C) 3. Sutton S. 18. Tevere L. 8. Timmins C. 27. Freney W. 7. Pennington N. 9. Kucharski J. 67. Colakovski S.
Substitutes
11. Armiento C. 29. Brooke-Smith L. 4. James M. 16. Kartum S. 30. Kelly-Heald A. (G) 18. Kelly-Heald L. 27. Sheridan M.
39. De Abreu G. 23. Didulica A. 24. Lebib A. 20. Ostler T. 19. Risdon J. 17. Sulemani A. 40. Warner R. (G)
Coaches
Greenacre C.
Griffiths A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tevere L. ↓, De Abreu G. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Piper C. ⚽, Najjarine R. (A),
60', Kucharski J. 🟨,
60', Kucharski J. ↓, Sulemani A. ↑,
65', Payne T. ↓, Sheridan M. ↑,
65', Edwards D. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
70', Freney W. ↓, Ostler T. ↑,
70', Colakovski S. ↓, Didulica A. ↑,
78', Tuiloma B. ↓, James M. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Pennington N. (Own goal),
85', Ostler T. ↓, Risdon J. ↑,
89', Nagasawa K. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
89', Eze I. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Perth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Perth has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Wellington: Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Cook C.
(Knee Injury)
Lawrence T.
(Foot Injury)
O'Neill B.
(Injury)
Wales L.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Perth: Freney W.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
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Oluwayemi J. (G) 
Piper C. 
Retre P. 
Nagasawa K. 
Najjarine R. 
Shamoon C. A. 
Kaltack B. 
Wootton S. (C) 
Colakovski S. 
James M. 
Kartum S. 
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