Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Heidenheim		Hannover

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.5	Watch
	2.18	3.4	3.25
	2.05	3.45	3.5
	2.07	3.72	3.61
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	2.03	3.68	3.38	Watch
	2.04	3.65	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.06)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)	3.44 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
46%

Draw
26.5%

Hannover
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	33.3%	23.8%

Heidenheim - Hannover Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Hannover will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).

Heidenheim has the most likely position - 5 (10.9%), has project points - 52, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Hannover has the most likely position - 7 (8.89%), has project points - 49, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 32, small importance 30, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 3.

Recent matches Heidenheim is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hannover is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heidenheim will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
01.10.22	St. Pauli - Heidenheim	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Heidenheim - Kaiserslautern	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Karlsruher - Heidenheim	0:0 ✺
02.09.22	Heidenheim - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTWT
- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
30.09.22	Hannover - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
16.09.22	Sandhausen - Hannover	2:3 ✺
10.09.22	Hannover - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Hansa Rostock - Hannover	0:1 ✺
28.08.22	Hannover - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.02.22	Heidenheim - Hannover	3:1
20.08.21	Hannover - Heidenheim	1:0
11.04.21	Hannover - Heidenheim	1:3
12.12.20	Heidenheim - Hannover	1:0
07.06.20	Hannover - Heidenheim	2:1
10.11.19	Heidenheim - Hannover	4:0
05.05.17	Heidenheim - Hannover	0:2

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