Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Nova Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Turkey	beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Darmstadt		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.15
	3.1	3.75	2.2	Watch
	3.22	3.7	2.23
	3.22	3.7	2.23
	3.2	3.75	2.1	Watch
	3.27	3.84	2.23	Watch
	3.2	3.8	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.18)	3.72 ↓ (3.74)	2.19 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
30.3%

Draw
25.9%

Heidenheim
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

25.5%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.2%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.8%	17.6%	73.5%

Darmstadt - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 57.5% – 87.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 4. Zimmermann C. 14. Klarer C. 5. Maglica M. 19. Karic E. 20. Muller J. 11. Kempe T. (C) 15. Nurnberger F. 27. Skarke T. 24. Pfeiffer L. 29. Vilhelmsson O.	1. Muller K. (G) 30. Theuerkauf N. 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 19. Fohrenbach J. 3. Schoppner J. 8. Dinkci E. 16. Sessa K. 37. Beste J. 18. Pieringer M. 10. Kleindienst T.
Substitutes
49. Arania A. 13. Behrens M. (G) 25. Holtmann G. 18. Honsak M. 3. Isherwood T. 17. Justvan J. 16. Muller A. 8. Schnellhardt F. 42. Torsiello F.	20. Dovedan N. 22. Eicher V. (G) 36. Janes L. 29. Jarju S. 24. Kuhlwetter C. 17. Pick F. 9. Schimmer S. 4. Siersleben T. 11. Thomalla D.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Gimber B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Karic E. 🟨,
60', Kempe T. 🟨,
63', Kempe T. ↓, Justvan J. ↑,
69', Pieringer M. ↓, Thomalla D. ↑,
69', Sessa K. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
79', Karic E. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
80', Vilhelmsson O. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
83', Dinkci E. ↓, Kuhlwetter C. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Dovedan N. ⚽, Kuhlwetter C. (A),
90+4', Beste J. ↓, Pick F. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 1.

Darmstadt is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Heidenheim is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darmstadt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Heidenheim will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Brunst A. (Muscle Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Hornby F. (Ankle Injury) Manu B. M. (Muscle Injury) Mehlem M. (Calf Injury) Riedel C. (Knock) Schnellhardt F. (Muscle Injury) Seydel A. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Beck A. (Ankle Injury) Busch M. (Knee Injury) Keller T. (Knee Injury) Maloney L. (Shoulder Injury) Qenaj E. (Knee Injury) Traore O. H. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Gjasula K. (Hip Injury) Justvan J. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
20.04.24	Köln - Darmstadt	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Darmstadt - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Mainz - Darmstadt	4:0 ✺
31.03.24	Bochum - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Darmstadt - Bayern Munich	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLLTL
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
20.04.24	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Bochum - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	3:2 ✺
31.03.24	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.24	Heidenheim - Karlsruher	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
09.12.23	Heidenheim - Darmstadt	3:2
German 2 Bundesliga
04.03.23	Heidenheim - Darmstadt	1:0
27.08.22	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	2:2
04.03.22	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	3:2
24.09.21	Heidenheim - Darmstadt	2:1
16.05.21	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	5:1
17.01.21	Heidenheim - Darmstadt	3:0

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