Match Info

Date: 2 September 2022, Friday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Heidenheim		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.87	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.43	3.4	2.8
	2.45	3.35	2.8
	2.63	3.5	2.77
	2.4	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.48	3.46	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	2.78 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
37.9%

Draw
28%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.8%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.8%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	44.4%	25.9%

Heidenheim - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Fortuna will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.7% – 63.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 and 5).

Heidenheim has the most likely position - 4 (9.48%), has project points - 53, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Fortuna has the most likely position - 3 (9.92%), has project points - 54, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 36, importance 46, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Heidenheim have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
27.08.22	Darmstadt - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
21.08.22	Heidenheim - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Nürnberg - Heidenheim	0:3 ✺
06.08.22	Hamburger SV - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.07.22	Illertissen - Heidenheim	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWLW
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
26.08.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Jahn Regensburg	4:0 ✺
20.08.22	Eintracht Braunschweig - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
14.08.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
05.08.22	Sandhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.07.22	Kickers Offenbach - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
29.04.22	Heidenheim - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:3
26.11.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Heidenheim	0:1
28.02.21	Heidenheim - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:2
30.10.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Heidenheim	1:0
15.04.18	Heidenheim - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:1
05.11.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Heidenheim	2:2
25.02.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Heidenheim	0:0

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