Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Heft F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Sweden	Viaplay


	Heidenheim		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.8	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.8
	1.7	3.8	4.8
	1.73	3.97	5
	1.63	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.8	Watch
	1.7	3.85	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)	3.84 ↑ (3.65)	4.89 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
56%

Draw
24.7%

Jahn Regensburg
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.5%	5%	12.5%

Heidenheim - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Heidenheim will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation) and 10).

Heidenheim has the most likely position - 3 (17.66%), has project points - 57, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (31%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Regensburg has the most likely position - 15 (10.71%), has project points - 40, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 46, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 4.

Heidenheim is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Regensburg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heidenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Regensburg have a series of home games.

In this match Heidenheim is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.22	Sandhausen - Heidenheim	3:4 ✺
05.11.22	Heidenheim - Paderborn	3:0 ✺
28.10.22	Magdeburg - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Heidenheim - Greuther Fürth	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTWL
- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.22	Jahn Regensburg - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Jahn Regensburg - Hansa Rostock	0:3 ✺
22.10.22	Jahn Regensburg - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
07.05.22	Jahn Regensburg - Heidenheim	0:2
05.12.21	Heidenheim - Jahn Regensburg	3:0
18.04.21	Jahn Regensburg - Heidenheim	0:3
15.12.20	Heidenheim - Jahn Regensburg	0:0
13.06.20	Heidenheim - Jahn Regensburg	4:1
24.11.19	Jahn Regensburg - Heidenheim	3:1
02.03.19	Heidenheim - Jahn Regensburg	1:2

Upcoming Matches