Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 9 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Hardtwaldstadion (Sandhausen)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 2 MAX


	Sandhausen		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.16
	3.35	3.3	2.2
	3.38	3.43	2.27
	3.2	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.32	3.42	2.14	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.29)	3.32 ↓ (3.41)	2.19 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandhausen
28.3%

Draw
28.5%

Heidenheim
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

27.4%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

27.8%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	18.5%	59.3%

Sandhausen - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Sandhausen will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (18.26%), has project points - 36, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Heidenheim has the most likely position - 3 (15.5%), has project points - 56, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has small quality 27, importance 50, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Heidenheim will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Sandhausen
German 2 Bundesliga
04.11.22	Hansa Rostock - Sandhausen	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Sandhausen - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Jahn Regensburg - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Sandhausen - Karlsruher	3:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.10.22	Paderborn - Sandhausen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLWL
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
05.11.22	Heidenheim - Paderborn	3:0 ✺
28.10.22	Magdeburg - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Heidenheim - Greuther Fürth	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.10.22	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
27.02.22	Heidenheim - Sandhausen	1:1
18.09.21	Sandhausen - Heidenheim	1:3
09.05.21	Heidenheim - Sandhausen	2:1
08.01.21	Sandhausen - Heidenheim	4:0
07.02.20	Sandhausen - Heidenheim	0:1
25.08.19	Heidenheim - Sandhausen	0:2
04.05.19	Heidenheim - Sandhausen	2:3

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