Match Info

Date: 28 October 2022, Friday

Location: MDCC-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Thomsen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Magdeburg		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.37	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.25
	2.9	3.55	2.3
	2.95	3.6	2.43
	2.88	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.78	3.65	2.34	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.23)	3.54 ↑ (3.46)	2.33 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
32.7%

Draw
26.7%

Heidenheim
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

27%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.2%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	30.8%	53.8%

Magdeburg - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4).

Magdeburg has the most likely position - 18 (31.25%), has project points - 33, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Heidenheim has the most likely position - 4 (12.02%), has project points - 53, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has small quality 24, importance 45, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Heidenheim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
23.10.22	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	2:3 ✺
15.10.22	Magdeburg - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Sandhausen - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Magdeburg - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Hansa Rostock - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLWL
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
23.10.22	Heidenheim - Greuther Fürth	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.10.22	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	3:1 ✺
09.10.22	Heidenheim - Hannover	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	St. Pauli - Heidenheim	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
29.03.19	Magdeburg - Heidenheim	0:0
20.10.18	Heidenheim - Magdeburg	3:0

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